比特帝大币哥

Entered the blockchain in 2016, now a 10-year veteran! Experienced three rounds of bull and bear markets, starting from altcoins! Believes in BTC, loves Ethereum, deeply involved in quantitative relationship technology, on-chain level 2, with technical indicators being the Vegas channel and Fibonacci sequence filtering MACD and KDJ. Currently settled in New Zealand! Friends are welcome to gather! Let's contribute to the web3 cause together! $BTC $ETH $OKB $SOL $DOGE

How difficult is it to make a living from trading? It is widely recognized in the private equity circle: the survival rate of full-time traders is less than 0.7% (lower than the probability of passing the entrance exams for Tsinghua and Peking University). Neurological studies show: the cortisol levels of professional traders are comparable to those of war correspondents, with a five-year elimination rate of 98%. The real alchemy is anti-human nature training: enduring the torment of 20 consecutive stop losses, restraining the urge to inflate profits by 50% in a single month, and using three years of losses to buy a ticket to enter the industry.

Enjoying a rebound in the evening Feeling great!

The Federal Reserve is facing a major shift! Walsh is about to take over, and the Powell era is coming to an end, leaving retail investors in the crypto space sleepless tonight! Brothers, the overall environment is about to change drastically! Just now, the U.S. Senate Banking Committee successfully advanced Kevin Walsh's nomination for Federal Reserve Chairman to the full vote with a 13 to 11 vote. The official vote will take place at 10 AM Eastern Time on April 29. On the same day, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision will be announced, marking Powell's 63rd public appearance, which is likely to be his last as Federal Reserve Chairman. Starting May 15, the countdown to the end of the Powell era officially begins. Brother Chen bluntly stated: The old era is about to end, and a new pattern and crisis have already arrived. What exactly is Walsh's background? A seasoned financial veteran, deeply involved in crisis cycles, consistently advocating for a strong dollar, tightening liquidity, and strict regulation. If he successfully takes office, the expectations for easing and interest rate cuts that the market has anticipated over the past two years will be completely rewritten. This round of crypto market growth has relied on excessive liquidity, and once funding tightens, it will not simply be a negative factor but a structural shake-up of the entire market. How should ordinary retail investors respond? Remember three words: Don't hold on stubbornly. First, reduce leverage and lower positions. Before the vote results tomorrow, avoid blindly speculating on market fluctuations; high-leverage long positions should timely avoid risks, and reduce positions wherever possible. Second, closely monitor the U.S. dollar index and U.S. Treasury yield trends. As long as neither significantly strengthens, there is still room for buffer; once they continue to rise, a deep correction in Bitcoin is not just talk, and a drop to the $50,000 range is very possible. Third, pay close attention to Powell's final speech. If he hints at staying in office, the market will see a short-term recovery rebound; if he completely steps down, combined with Walsh's successful election, the market will enter a storm adjustment period, and holding cash flow will be key. Brother Chen does not bear a bearish outlook for the future. Looking back at history, every round of regulatory tightening and liquidity contraction has been a quality market reshuffle. Reflecting on the deep adjustments in 2018 and 2022, only those who persist after the lows can seize the larger benefits in the subsequent market. Keep a calm mindset, maintain a steady pace, and wait for the market to clarify. Here's a piece of honest advice: When the tide goes out, you can see who has been blindly following; truly mature traders will always prepare their defensive layout before risks arrive. Stay connected, band together for warmth, and smoothly navigate through the adjustment period. Core idea for retail investors: patiently lurk for opportunities, and when taking action, do it steadily, accurately, and decisively.

The main reasons for today's drop in Bitcoin 1. The Federal Reserve is about to hold a meeting, and everyone is worried about Powell's hawkish remarks. 2. Bitcoin rebounded to a key resistance level but failed to break through 80,000 and fell back. 3. The situation in the Middle East is tense, with slow progress in US-Iran negotiations, causing some panic in the market. None of these are the real reasons; the real reason is that the 2026 Bitcoin Conference is being held in Las Vegas, and BTC has a history of dropping during conferences.

This market won't stop chattering.

A pullback is an opportunity!!! Mr. Lin has mentioned this coin multiple times, and that is the leading event coin CHZ. As the World Cup opening date approaches, it will definitely break through again!! Currently at 0.045, from Mr. Lin's perspective, it is indeed an opportunity, and he also suggests that brothers can gradually position themselves. Remember the last time Mr. Lin called for brothers to position themselves was at 0.038, then it went to 0.042, and then to 0.051. No need to say more! Keep up and enjoy the profits.

From the perspective of the cyclical structure, the current asset is clearly in a downward channel, with both the phase highs and lows moving downwards in sync, and bearish forces dominating. After the previous key support was broken with increased volume, the price center has continued to decline, and the rebound recovery strength is relatively weak, with no effective reversal signal formed yet. Continuing to operate in a bearish manner remains the more prudent choice at this time. In terms of operations, it is recommended to use the rebound resistance as an entry point, testing with a light position and gradually building up, setting stop-loss above the key resistance to guard against short-term volatility risks, with the target looking towards the recent support area, employing a step-by-step take-profit strategy to secure gains.

On Tuesday, BTC continued to weaken, firmly trapped in the 76000-77000 range, oscillating downwards, with bulls completely defeated and losing all momentum for a counterattack. The market repeatedly tested for a rebound but could never stabilize above the critical resistance level of 77000, which clearly indicates the bulls' buying power is extremely weak, and the main players have no intention of pushing prices up. With no hope for an upward move, the trend is bearish, and current operations should simply follow the trend to capture profits from the decline. Short-term trading strategy BTC: Enter short positions directly at 76500—77000, targeting 74900 ETH: Set up short positions in the range of 2290—2310, with a downward target of 2180

Will it break 76,000 tonight?

ETH Afternoon Trading Strategy After the major coin's price surged and encountered resistance, it has continued to decline. The current price is fluctuating weakly around the middle band of the Bollinger Bands. The overall trading direction is clear, prioritizing short positions based on resistance levels. After a short-term pullback to support levels, one can attempt to take small long positions, focusing on range-bound trading. Throughout the process, strict position control is essential; do not blindly gamble with heavy positions. The key resistance level above is at 77,400, where previous highs and the upper Bollinger Band converge, creating dual pressure. If the price rebounds but the upward momentum weakens and trading volume continues to shrink, it will be the right time to enter short positions. The first take-profit target below is set at 76,500. Now looking at Ethereum's afternoon trend, from the candlestick pattern, this round of market movement is a typical case of a surge followed by a decline, indicating a weakening bullish reversal. Previously, the price rose to around 2,400, but the buying support at high levels was weak, and selling pressure continued to be released, directly reversing the market trend from bullish dominance to bearish superiority, with a short-term low retracing to around 2,260. The current price is consolidating in a narrow range between 2,280 and 2,290. In the afternoon, focus on the critical level of 2,300. This is the dividing line for the strength of bulls and bears for the day. If the price rebounds to the range of 2,295 to 2,310 and fails to break through effectively, one can follow the trend and enter short positions with small sizes, targeting 2,270 first, and further looking at the support level of 2,260, with a stop-loss set above 2,320; If the price can stabilize above 2,300, one can take small long positions to capture short-term rebound profits. Overall, strict position control is essential, adhering to a prudent trading principle to avoid market volatility risks.