如何在 Opinion 和 Polymarket 之间进行跨市场同事件套利既能刷分 又能套利一鱼两吃 @Polymarket @opinionlabsxyz 利用两个不同的预测市场平台——Opinion 和 Polymarket——针对同一个事件的不同定价,构建一个“无风险”的对冲组合来赚取价差利润。 预测市场的基本原理是:一个事件的所有可能结果(例如“Yes”和“No”)的价格加起来应该等于单位支付额(通常是 $1 或 100 份)。 当两个不同的平台Opinion 和 Polymarket对同一个事件、同一个结果的定价出现分歧时,套利机会就出现了。 平台A的“Yes”价格 + 平台B的“No”价格 < $1.00 (或100个单位) 只要购买成本低于最终结算的 $1.00,中间的差价就是你的锁定利润。 Will stable launch a token in 2025?" (Stable 会在 2025 年发行代币吗? 在 PM 买入 100 份 "Yes":100 × $0.90 = $90.00 在 OP 买入 100 份 "No" :100 × $0.0729 = $7.29 总成本: $90.00 + $7.29 = $97.29 因为 $97.29 < $100 (最终结算金额),所以这个组合是有利可图的。 预期锁定利润: $100 - $97.29 = $2.71
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